Random links

The Uneven Impact of Generative AI on Entrepreneurial Performance
"high performers benefited by just over 20% from AI advice, whereas low performers did roughly 10% worse with AI assistance. Exploratory analysis of the WhatsApp interaction logs shows that both groups sought the AI mentor’s advice, but that low performers did worse because they sought help on much more challenging business tasks."
Stalin’s ism
"And yet, the Finns, mounting a defense on skis, managed for an astonishing time to hold off Soviet forces. They also showed great ingenuity—for instance, posting portraits of Stalin on targets so no Soviet soldier would dare shoot at it."
How to make space-based solar power a reality
Will be interesting to see if this becomes more common. It's definitely been talked about for a while.
Quantitative risk assessment of the effects of climate change on selected causes of death, 2030s and 2050s
"Climate change will have some positive impacts on human health. There are likely to be reductions in cold-related mortality and morbidity in high-income populations. ... The effect of cold temperatures is therefore not modelled in this assessment."

The Argentinian President and the AI future

It's interesting to see what an AI translation looks like for a full-length speech compared to the official version from the World Economic Forum's Youtube channel:

Will also be interesting to see what happens to Argentina in the wake of Milei's election as president as he's quite a change from the country's previous government given his generally libertarian positions and has tried to make some very-aggressive changes.

Initial results seem positive - e.g. doubling in supply of rental apartments as well as a 20-30% decrease in price after a deregulation of that sector. Flying commercial instead of hopping on a private jet like so many of the "environmentalists" likely in attendance at Davos was kinda funny.

(Overall I'm probably a little less libertarian than Milei but suspect the changes he make to Argentina will have positive results relative to the alternative).

Random links

Why Governments Can't be Trusted to Protect the Long-run Future
"The argument for why governments can’t be trusted to correct externalities across time is the same as why they can’t be trusted to correct them across borders: no one in the long-run future gets to vote in the next election."
Clinical outcomes and utilization from over a decade of planned oocyte cryopreservation
If women opt to freeze their eggs, how likely are they to go back and use them? Seems like the answer is "not very" - "Of 921 patients who underwent planned oocyte cryopreservation, 68 (7.4%) returned to use their oocytes. Forty-six patients (67.6%) completed at least one embryo transfer. The [cumulative clinical pregnancy rate] per transfer was 47.5% and [live birth rate] was 39.3%"
China’s cheaper EVs are challenging Western market dominance
"Today, consumers would need to spend at least €18 285 and €24 400 to buy an EV in Europe and the US, respectively – this is 92% and 146% more than they would need to pay for the cheapest combustion car available. In comparison, in China the cheapest EV costs 8% less than the cheapest internal combustion engine (ICE) equivalent."

Losing trust in science

The net result isn't great, but I find it often both unsurprising and completely justified that people lose trust in science.


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