On shooting the messenger

I've been keeping an eye on Zeynep Tufekci's work from around the time her book Twitter and Tear Gas: The Power and Fragility of Networked Protest1 came out in 2017 and she's definitely been one of the more interesting people to follow in the COVID era. Here now it seems that the latest US intelligence has concluded basically the same thing she said in February - i.e. the news didn't make it upstream as quickly as it might have in a more open system.

Here's a tweet of hers' from back in February:

It's been kind of interesting to see the sorts of influence that she's managed to have. e.g. this bit from a profile of her that the New York Times recently did on how the CDC wound up shifting it's advice on mask-wearing:

And again, this is the sort of personality you're looking for when it comes to making critical decisions - i.e. in her words:

I feel charmed that I get to do this: do my best to call things as I see it regardless of considerations of popularity

It's definitely not a zero-risk environment, as I recall her tweeting about how she'd expected her New York Times op-ed advocating for mask to kind of bring an end to her public relevance.

  1. There's a free digital version of Tufekci's book on the book's official website. ↩︎

Nathan Robinson and when the truth is hidden

I came across an article recently The Truth Is Paywalled But The Lies Are Free. Its basic argument is that there are a lot of shitty new sites that are with paywalls up in front of some of the better ones. That particular premise I more or less agree with it. There are two major flaws with it though:

1. The very author of the article above is Nathan Robinson - the very one being critiqued here:

i.e. a subset of true claims you might be more likely to find in the shittier free sources.

2. Not everything you'll find in those better news sites is true, a phenomena that's likely to be most pronounced for politically sensitive concerns

Take this as one prominent example:

After smearing a bunch of prominent historians who'd objected to certain elements of the piece due to their identity characteristics, we then later found out that the history professor who they'd consulted ahead of publication and against who the same identity-based smear strategy wouldn't work had "vigorously disputed" the same claims. If you read the article later authored by the person they'd consulted you'll see that see seems at least as harsh against those historians who'd critiqued the piece as she is against the New York Times itself.

It is difficult to overstate the extent to which a newspaper publishing false claims known in advance of publication to be false damages its reputation.

By and large I generally expect people in practice to take more liberty, overstating their claims for causes they take to be important. At the same point in time, I'd expect the political opponents of a cause likely to be overly critical in evaluating arguments that might detract from their overall case. i.e. it seems to me that what seems to happen is that you get shittier argument where more-rigorously fact-checked arguments are needed which then devolves into a dumpster fire.

The claim below was made regarding investigative journalism, wherein here the New York Times critiques the shoddy reporting of Ronan Farrow, but I think a similar sort of argument also applies here:

i.e. a 90%-true story - which is about where I'd put Nikole Hannah-Jones article - may actually hurt you rather than help you.

I find it kind of amusing how Hannah Arendt's The Origins of Totalitarianism hit the bestseller lists the week after Trump was elected. In some ways I think the book fairly accurately describes the sort of actions Trump takes, but in others I think it's not unreasonable to apply some of her critiques to people like Nicole Hannah-Jones. e.g. Arendt wrote in that book:

... there is no doubt that the elite was pleased whenever the underworld frightened respectable society into accepting it on an equal footing. The members of the elite did not object at all to paying a price, the destruction of civilization, for the fun of seeing how those who had been excluded unjustly in the past forced their way into it. They were not particularly outraged at the monstrous forgeries in historiography ...

Nikole Hannah-Jones received a Pulitzer Prize for the work mentioned above where she's continued to include assertions her own factcheckers told her in advance of publication were false. Arguments like this were made at that time:

I can think of few situations as dissimilar as a journalist making true yet unpopular claims to the extent she was able to make them and a journalist publishing claims it's difficult to argue she didn't know to be false at the time she published them. It's not unreasonable to treat Ida B. Wells as a hero but in the same vein it seems only reasonable to treat someone like Nikole Hannah-Jones (who brands her twitter account as Ida Bae Wells) as worthy of contempt.1

My argument in short: if, when it's politically convenient to do so, you've demonstrated that you're willing to both (a) avoid making certain classes of true statements and (b) willing to make false statements you shouldn't be surprised if people stop trusting you. It's not that Trump isn't incredibly dirty, it's just that you've made yourself particularly vulnerable to people likely him. At the moment it seems as though there's a competition to see who can destroy institutions most quickly.

  1. I've previously argued that Paul Krugman also generally writes columns worth avoiding. In the New York Times he's worth treating as just a troll, even if one who happens to have a Nobel Prize to his name. ↩︎

Random links

Complex intersections of race and class: Among social liberals, learning about White privilege reduces sympathy, increases blame, and decreases external attributions for White people struggling with poverty.
One of the reasons why I'm not surprised that there's a Trump voter base.
The Racial Wealth Gap Is About the Upper Classes
"In much of the popular discourse on the racial wealth gap, the emphasis is on the median white household and the median black household. To understand how misguided this emphasis is, we can do exactly what we did above but for the bottom 50 percent of each race. After topping off the current bottom 50 percent of black families so that they have as much wealth per household as the current bottom 50 percent of white families, mean black wealth rises by $23,100, cutting the racial wealth gap by 3 percent."
Gender Gaps in Education: The Long View
"in many countries with low levels of education for both men and women in 1960, gender gaps widened as more boys went to school, then narrowed as girls enrolled; thus, gender gaps got worse before they got better. ....gender gaps rarely persist in countries where boys are attaining high levels of education. Most countries with large, current gender gaps have low levels of male educational attainment." Think what this might imply about perhaps the best way forward to prosperity / "gender equality" and then consider that what I expect to see implemented these days is almost the exact opposite.

Where mobs may actually be useful

I'd noticed this as well:

It's a similar sort of personality required as with this. The same applies to whistleblowers.


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