"Our findings show that physical and personality traits display only weakly positive and frequently insignificant correlations across spouses. Conversely, political attitudes display interspousal correlations that are among the strongest of all social and biometric traits. Further, it appears the political similarity of spouses derives in part from initial mate choice rather than persuasion and accommodation over the life of the relationship."
"The findings suggest that media coverage featuring probabilistic forecasting gives rise to much stronger expectations that the leading candidate will win, compared with more familiar coverage of candidates’ vote share. How people interpret statistics might seem inconsequential – unless these interpretations affect behavior. And there is evidence that they do"
"The 'few bad apples' theory of police violence posits that a small portion of the police force is ill-intentioned or inclined to misconduct or violence, while the majority of officers are good cops. Until recently, this theory was difficult for civilians to investigate, but department data on complaints against officers obtained through a legal challenge shows that police misconduct in Chicago is overwhelmingly the product of a small fraction of officers and that it may be possible to identify those officers and reduce misconduct."
(Probably should note that his talk concludes talking about the backfire effect - the notion that presenting people with evidence against their views can cause them to believe them more strongly - which doesn't seem to have fared particularly well in replication efforts in recent years - see, e.g. There’s (More) Hope for Political Fact-Checking).
"In their haste to condemn the GOP tax plan, Democrats have spread the false claim that families making less than $86K will face a hefty tax hike. Actually, it’s the opposite. Most families in that income range would get a tax cut." https://t.co/MAPL5cEqvH
Was hoping somebody would do this. The polls you're seeing are more about the Republican brand being poor than about the tax plan, which many haven't really studied: Watch Liberals Support the GOP Tax Plan ... After Being Told It Came From Bernie Sanders https://t.co/wkco92Sed9
If you recall that the average journalist is much more likely to lean Democrat I also don't think it should be too surprising that Republicans are more suspicious of news. It seems to me that they have good reason to be at least them it comes to some politically sensitive subjects (although the same perceptions do leave them more vulnerable to crazy idieas). Take Nate Silver's assessment of the 2016 US Presidential Elections in There Really Was A Liberal Media Bubble:
Conditions in political journalism are highly ripe for groupthink. Not diverse. Pack mentality. Heavily concentrated in NYC and DC. pic.twitter.com/3EhxVGC8Fe
"A pilot scheme has been started in Beijing charging people to use newly installed lifts in older residential blocks ... A similar scheme was launched in Beijing’s Haidian district last year, but residents were charged a monthly “subscription” fee to use the lifts. The elevator firm’s chief designer Zheng Hongan told the paper: “Residents don’t need to pay construction and maintenance fees. They pay only according to their needs.”"
"Independent of the econometric methodology applied, we consistently find: (i) General migration has an insignificant effect on the destination country’s corruption level. (ii) Immigration from corruption-ridden countries boosts corruption in the destination country."
"How easy is it to change people’s votes in an election? The answer, a growing number of studies conclude, is that most forms of political persuasion seem to have little effect at all."
